Cogency - Probable

An argument is cogent if and only if the truth of the argument's premises would render the truth of the conclusion probable (i.e., the argument is strong) and the premises are, in fact, true. Cogency can be considered inductive logic's analogue to deductive logic's "validity." As an example, consider the following. Without looking, Jill pulled out 100 marbles from a bag; 95 of the marbles Jill pulled out were red. Therefore, the next marble Jill ...

Including:

• Cogency - Probable
• Cogency - Good argument

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Good argument, as used by philosophers and many others, means simply a sound or cogent argument. If one has offered a sound or cogent argument in defense of one's conclusion, then one has stated a true view, or at least a probably true view. The premises of one's argument support, or, with some sophisticated complications aside, justify one's belief in the conclusion. A good argument is the closest thing we have to a guarantee that a belief is true. If one is armed with a good argument, one has helped to justify one's belief in the c ...

See also:

Cogency, Cogency - Probable, Cogency - Good argument

Read more here: » Cogency: Encyclopedia II - Cogency - Good argument